Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets): Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027 at 42.5%.
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Updated · Volume $531.4K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | 42.5% | -23.5 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | 26.9% | +4.3 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | 7.6% | +1.7 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? | 2.8% | +0.3 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | 1.4% | +0.1 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | 1.3% | -0.5 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | 1.1% | +0.8 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 97.2% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 7 tracked outcomes and $531.4K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027, is priced at 42.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice