IPOs before 2027? Odds & Probability
Markets price the chance of Once Upon a Farm completing an initial public offering by the end of 2026 at 100.0%. The market will resolve based on official company announcements or credible news reports.
Discord IPO before 2027?
Updated · Volume $6.8M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Wealthfront IPO before 2027? | 100.0% | — |
| Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027? | 100.0% | — |
| Cerebras IPO before 2027? | 100.0% | — |
| SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? | 100.0% | — |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | 76.5% | +1.0 |
| SHEIN IPO before 2027? | 71.0% | +3.3 |
| Discord IPO before 2027? | 43.0% | +0.1 |
| Remote IPO before 2027? | 19.0% | — |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | 19.0% | +0.5 |
| WHOOP IPO before 2027? | 17.5% | — |
| Epic Games IPO before 2027? | 17.4% | — |
| Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? | 14.1% | — |
| Mistral AI IPO before 2027? | 13.0% | — |
| Ledger IPO before 2027? | 12.5% | — |
| Rippling IPO before 2027? | 12.0% | — |
| Glean IPO before 2027? | 11.5% | — |
| Vanta IPO before 2027? | 11.5% | — |
| Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? | 10.5% | — |
| Databricks IPO before 2027? | 10.5% | — |
| Ramp IPO before 2027? | 10.5% | — |
| Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? | 9.5% | — |
| Celonis IPO before 2027? | 9.0% | — |
| Anduril IPO before 2027? | 8.5% | — |
| Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? | 8.5% | — |
| ByteDance IPO before 2027? | 7.0% | — |
| Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? | 6.5% | — |
| Revolut IPO before 2027? | 5.5% | — |
| Canva IPO before 2027? | 5.0% | — |
| Deel IPO before 2027? | 4.5% | — |
| Stripe IPO before 2027? | 4.2% | — |
| Waymo IPO before 2027? | 3.5% | — |
| Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? | 3.1% | — |
| Brex IPO before 2027? | 1.9% | — |
| xAI IPO before 2027? | 0.0% | — |
The headline market views Once Upon a Farm’s IPO as near-certain; Cerebras, Wealthfront, and SpaceX are also near-certain, while Anthropic and SHEIN are more likely than not, Discord is a coin flip, and the remaining names are unlikely.
Context
The probability for Once Upon a Farm’s IPO has fluctuated over the period. It has ranged from 38.0% to 66.1%. Total volume has reached $6.8M. The market resolves to 'Yes' if Once Upon a Farm completes an IPO—the first sale of stock to the public on any recognized exchange—by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Confirmation must come from official company announcements or a consensus of credible reporting. Should the company merge, be acquired, or cease to exist before that deadline, the market resolves to 'No'. Early resolution occurs if the IPO happens before the cutoff. The outcome depends on formal milestones. The deadline is Dec 31, 2026; any official IPO registration or announcement before then could shift the market. Likewise, a merger or acquisition that prevents a public listing would settle it at 'No'. Changes in consensus among credible news sources also feed into the probability.
FAQ
What types of public offerings count?
Any first public sale of stock on a recognized exchange qualifies as an IPO for this market.
How does the market determine whether an IPO took place?
It relies on credible news reports and official company announcements confirming the first public stock sale on a recognized exchange.
What happens if the company is acquired before the deadline?
The market resolves to 'No', as the company would no longer be independent to list.
Can the market resolve before December 2026?
Yes, if the company completes its IPO earlier, the market resolves to 'Yes' at that time.
What if no credible reporting confirms an IPO before the deadline?
If no such confirmation emerges by the cutoff, the market resolves to 'No'.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice