Bank of Canada Decision in October?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement at 62.5%.
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?
Updated · Volume $89.9K
Across platforms
1.5 pt spreadWill the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?
- Polymarket62.5%
- Kalshi64.0%
Matched automatically by question and resolution date. How we match.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? | 62.5% | +0.4 |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | 38.0% | +0.4 |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement? | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 5 tracked outcomes and $89.9K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement, is priced at 62.5%.
Data: Polymarket, Kalshi · Methodology · Not financial advice