Bank of England decision in July?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting at 96.8%.
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?
Updated · Volume $53.8K
Across platforms
0.8 pt spreadNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?
- Polymarket96.8%
- Kalshi96.0%
Matched automatically by question and resolution date. How we match.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting? | 96.8% | -0.3 |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting? | 3.1% | +1.0 |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2026 meeting? | 0.1% | -0.1 |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2026 meeting? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 100.4% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 5 tracked outcomes and $53.8K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting, is priced at 96.8%.
Data: Polymarket, Kalshi · Methodology · Not financial advice