Bank of England decision in November?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting at 94.0%.
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Updated · Volume $314.9K
Across platforms
2.0 pt spreadBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
- Polymarket94.0%
- Kalshi92.0%
Matched automatically by question and resolution date. How we match.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | 94.0% | +1.5 |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? | 6.5% | -0.5 |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting? | 0.1% | -0.1 |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 5 tracked outcomes and $314.9K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting, is priced at 94.0%.
Data: Polymarket, Kalshi · Methodology · Not financial advice