Bank of England decision in September?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting at 70.5%.
70.5%-4.0 pts 24h
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
Updated · Volume $42.0K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | 70.5% | -4.0 |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | 30.4% | +5.1 |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting? | 0.7% | +0.5 |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 101.7% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 5 tracked outcomes and $42.0K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting, is priced at 70.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice