BoJ July 2026 Rate Decision: Market Odds

Prediction markets have settled No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meetingEvent concluded — awaiting official settlement

Updated · Volume $892.0K

Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.

OutcomeProbability24h
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?100.0%
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?0.0%
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?0.0%
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?0.0%
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?0.0%

Context

This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.

The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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