Bank of Japan Decision in October?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting at 83.5%.
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Updated · Volume $128.2K
Across platforms
0.5 pt spreadNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- Polymarket83.5%
- Kalshi84.0%
Matched automatically by question and resolution date. How we match.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | 83.5% | +1.0 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | 16.0% | 0.0 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | 0.9% | -1.9 |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | 0.1% | -0.1 |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | 0.1% | -0.1 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 5 tracked outcomes and $128.2K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting, is priced at 83.5%.
Data: Polymarket, Kalshi · Methodology · Not financial advice