Bank of Japan Decision in September?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting at 89.5%.
89.5%+1.0 pts 24h
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?
Updated · Volume $48.4K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | 89.5% | +1.0 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | 7.5% | 0.0 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | 1.0% | +0.1 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting? | 0.5% | -0.1 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting? | 0.5% | +0.3 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 99.1% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 5 tracked outcomes and $48.4K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting, is priced at 89.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice