Jul 30, 2026
Probability rose from 90.6% to 98.0% — a 7.3-point move over the past day.
Bank of Mexico August Decision: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets have settled No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meetingEvent concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $112.5K
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? | 100.0% | — |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after August 2026 meeting? | 0.1% | — |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after August 2026 meeting? | 0.1% | — |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting? | 0.1% | — |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting? | 0.1% | — |
Context
Jul 29, 2026
Probability rose from 90.5% to 96.0% — a 5.5-point move over the past day.
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice