Bank of Mexico Decision in August?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting at 95.5%.
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?
Updated · Volume $41.1K
Across platforms
0.5 pt spreadNo change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?
- Polymarket95.5%
- Kalshi96.0%
Matched automatically by question and resolution date. How we match.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? | 95.5% | +2.0 |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting? | 4.5% | -0.5 |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after August 2026 meeting? | 1.2% | -1.9 |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting? | 0.5% | +0.0 |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after August 2026 meeting? | 0.5% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 102.3% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 5 tracked outcomes and $41.1K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting, is priced at 95.5%.
Data: Polymarket, Kalshi · Methodology · Not financial advice