Bank of Russia decision in July?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting at 58.5%.
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?
Updated · Volume $155.5K
Across platforms
3.5 pt spreadWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?
- Polymarket58.5%
- Kalshi62.0%
Matched automatically by question and resolution date. How we match.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting? | 58.5% | -14.5 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting? | 39.5% | +14.0 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting? | 1.5% | -0.3 |
The top 3 outcomes account for 99.4% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 3 tracked outcomes and $155.5K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting, is priced at 58.5%.
Data: Polymarket, Kalshi · Methodology · Not financial advice