Bank of Russia decision in October?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting at 90.0%.

90.0%+1.5 pts 24h

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?

Updated · Volume $94.8K

47%64%81%98%Sep 17Sep 25Oct 2Oct 9Oct 17

Across platforms

3.0 pt spread

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?

  • Polymarket90.0%
  • Kalshi93.0%

Matched automatically by question and resolution date. How we match.

OutcomeProbability24h
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?90.0%+1.5
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?8.5%-1.0
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?0.4%-0.1

The top 3 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 3 tracked outcomes and $94.8K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting, is priced at 90.0%.

Data: Polymarket, Kalshi · Methodology · Not financial advice

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