Bank of Russia decision in September?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting at 61.0%.

61.0%-1.0 pts 24h

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?

Updated · Volume $115.4K

59%64%69%75%Aug 1Aug 8Aug 16Aug 23Aug 30

Across platforms

0.0 pt spread

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?

  • Polymarket61.0%
  • Kalshi61.0%

Matched automatically by question and resolution date. How we match.

OutcomeProbability24h
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?61.0%-1.0
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?39.5%+1.5
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?0.7%+0.1

The top 3 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 3 tracked outcomes and $115.4K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting, is priced at 61.0%.

Data: Polymarket, Kalshi · Methodology · Not financial advice

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