China Annual GDP Growth 2026: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0% at 95.5%.
95.5%0.0 pts 24h
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Updated · Volume $934.6K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | 95.5% | 0.0 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | 3.5% | 0.0 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? | 0.9% | 0.0 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%? | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 2.0% and 3.0%? | 0.2% | 0.0 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 7.0% and 8.0%? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 99.4% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 10 tracked outcomes and $934.6K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%, is priced at 95.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice