GDP growth in 2026: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5% at 50.5%.
50.5%0.0 pts 24h
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
Updated · Volume $88.5K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | 50.5% | 0.0 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%? | 47.4% | -1.0 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? | 1.5% | 0.0 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%? | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%? | 0.3% | -0.1 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? | 0.3% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 99.8% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 6 tracked outcomes and $88.5K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%, is priced at 50.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice