GDP growth in 2026: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5% at 32.0%.
32.0%0.0 pts 24h
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
Updated · Volume $47.3K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | 32.0% | 0.0 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? | 31.0% | +0.4 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%? | 27.5% | 0.0 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%? | 9.7% | +5.5 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%? | 3.0% | -0.6 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? | 2.6% | -3.4 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 103.2% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 6 tracked outcomes and $47.3K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%, is priced at 32.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice