How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027 at 67.8%.
67.8%-5.7 pts 24h
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?
Updated · Volume $125.7K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.75% before 2027? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.95% before 2027? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% before 2027? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.85% before 2027? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.70% before 2027? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? | 67.8% | -5.7 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027? | 28.5% | -3.5 |
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 9 tracked outcomes and $125.7K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027, is priced at 67.8%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice