How high will inflation get in 2026?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026 at 12.5%.
12.5%0.0 pts 24h
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Updated · Volume $1.4M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | 12.5% | 0.0 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | 7.0% | 0.0 |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? | 6.0% | +1.2 |
| Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? | 3.7% | 0.0 |
| Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? | 2.6% | +0.1 |
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 8 tracked outcomes and $1.4M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026, is priced at 12.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice