How high will inflation get in 2026?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026 at 22.5%.
22.5%+4.0 pts 24h
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Updated · Volume $1.3M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | 22.5% | +4.0 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | 15.5% | +2.0 |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? | 7.0% | -3.1 |
| Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? | 3.4% | 0.0 |
| Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? | 2.7% | -0.2 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 338.0% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 8 tracked outcomes and $1.3M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026, is priced at 22.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice