How high will inflation get in 2026?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026 at 14.5%.
14.5%+0.5 pts 24h
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Updated · Volume $1.5M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | 14.5% | +0.5 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | 8.5% | 0.0 |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? | 3.9% | 0.0 |
| Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? | 3.1% | 0.0 |
| Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? | 2.5% | 0.0 |
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 8 tracked outcomes and $1.5M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026, is priced at 14.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice