How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027 at 16.9%.
16.9%+10.1 pts 24h
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
Updated · Volume $255.2K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.0% before 2027? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? | 16.9% | +10.1 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? | 14.0% | +6.5 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? | 11.5% | +6.5 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027? | 5.5% | +0.5 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027? | 4.5% | 0.0 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027? | 4.2% | +0.2 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027? | 1.8% | +0.1 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027? | 1.7% | 0.0 |
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 9 tracked outcomes and $255.2K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027, is priced at 16.9%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice