How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027 at 20.5%.
20.5%-7.5 pts 24h
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?
Updated · Volume $397.9K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.0% before 2027? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027? | 20.5% | -7.5 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027? | 11.0% | +0.5 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.4% before 2027? | 5.5% | +0.5 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027? | 5.3% | -0.4 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.1% before 2027? | 3.4% | +0.2 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.3% before 2027? | 3.3% | +0.1 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.2% before 2027? | 2.4% | -0.1 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? | 2.1% | 0.0 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? | 2.1% | -0.1 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027? | 1.7% | -0.2 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027? | 1.5% | -0.5 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027? | 1.4% | -0.1 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027? | 1.4% | 0.0 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027? | 1.2% | 0.0 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? | 1.1% | -0.1 |
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 16 tracked outcomes and $397.9K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027, is priced at 20.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice