How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027 at 38.5%.
38.5%-7.0 pts 24h
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?
Updated · Volume $111.0K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027? | 38.5% | -7.0 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027? | 33.5% | -9.0 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027? | 27.5% | -7.0 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027? | 22.5% | +2.0 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027? | 16.5% | +0.5 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% before 2027? | 15.0% | -2.0 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027? | 7.5% | -6.5 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% before 2027? | 4.8% | +1.2 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027? | 3.4% | -0.2 |
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 9 tracked outcomes and $111.0K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027, is priced at 38.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice