How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027 at 28.0%.
28.0%-6.5 pts 24h
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?
Updated · Volume $112.3K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027? | 28.0% | -6.5 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027? | 15.5% | -1.5 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027? | 11.5% | -2.0 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027? | 5.5% | -1.0 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027? | 4.5% | +0.2 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027? | 3.0% | +0.8 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.25% before 2027? | 2.7% | -0.4 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027? | 2.7% | -0.3 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.00% before 2027? | 1.9% | -0.1 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 86.2% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 9 tracked outcomes and $112.3K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027, is priced at 28.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice