Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting at 84.5%.
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?
Updated · Volume $146.0K
Across platforms
2.5 pt spreadNo change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?
- Polymarket84.5%
- Kalshi82.0%
Matched automatically by question and resolution date. How we match.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? | 84.5% | 0.0 |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | 14.8% | 0.0 |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting? | 0.1% | +0.1 |
| Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 5 tracked outcomes and $146.0K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting, is priced at 84.5%.
Data: Polymarket, Kalshi · Methodology · Not financial advice