What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December at 45.5%.
45.5%-6.5 pts 24h
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December?
Updated · Volume $329.7K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,400 (LOW) in December? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (HIGH) in December? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in December? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,600 (LOW) in December? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (LOW) in December? | 70.5% | 0.0 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (LOW) in December? | 62.0% | -1.0 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December? | 61.0% | 0.0 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December? | 45.5% | -6.5 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? | 32.5% | -3.0 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? | 15.9% | +0.4 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December? | 14.0% | +0.5 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? | 10.5% | 0.0 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? | 8.5% | +0.5 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? | 6.5% | +0.5 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,000 (HIGH) in December? | 4.5% | +0.5 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December? | 4.5% | 0.0 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $10,000 (HIGH) in December? | 3.5% | +0.3 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? | 3.4% | +0.4 |
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 19 tracked outcomes and $329.7K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December, is priced at 45.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice