Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026 at 28.0%.

28.0%0.0 pts 24h

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?

Updated · Volume $44.3K

18%30%42%54%Jun 29Jul 3Jul 7Jul 11Jul 14
OutcomeProbability24h
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?28.0%0.0
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?0.0%

The top 2 outcomes account for 28.0% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 2 tracked outcomes and $44.3K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026, is priced at 28.0%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice