U.K. Annual Inflation 2026: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9% at 61.0%.
61.0%-0.3 pts 24h
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
Updated · Volume $140.0K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? | 61.0% | -0.3 |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%? | 22.5% | +0.5 |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%? | 8.8% | +0.3 |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%? | 5.0% | 0.0 |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%? | 2.5% | -0.4 |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%? | 1.9% | 0.0 |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%? | 1.7% | +0.4 |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%? | 1.6% | 0.0 |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% and 1.9%? | 1.3% | +0.4 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 93.9% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 9 tracked outcomes and $140.0K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%, is priced at 61.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice