US economic state at the end of 2026?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026 at 72.5%.
72.5%-0.5 pts 24h
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?
Updated · Volume $104.5K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? | 72.5% | -0.5 |
| Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? | 28.5% | +1.5 |
| Will the US economy have slack at the end of 2026? | 0.8% | -0.5 |
| Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026? | 0.4% | -0.1 |
The top 4 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 4 tracked outcomes and $104.5K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026, is priced at 72.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice