US x Cuba economic deal by...?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026 at 42.5%.

42.5%-0.5 pts 24h

US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?

Updated · Volume $396.3K

30%47%64%82%Jun 14Jun 22Jun 29Jul 7Jul 14
OutcomeProbability24h
US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?42.5%-0.5
US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?2.8%-1.1
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?0.0%
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?0.0%

The top 4 outcomes account for 45.3% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 4 tracked outcomes and $396.3K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026, is priced at 42.5%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice