USD x Iranian rials End of December?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31 at 25.5%.

25.5%-1.0 pts 24h

Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?

Updated · Volume $120.0K

19%28%38%47%Sep 22Sep 28Oct 4Oct 11Oct 17
OutcomeProbability24h
Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?25.5%-1.0
Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?23.5%-1.0
Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?22.5%-1.0
Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?15.4%+3.4
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?8.0%0.0
Will USD be at least 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?6.3%-0.1

The top 5 outcomes account for 93.8% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 6 tracked outcomes and $120.0K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31, is priced at 25.5%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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