What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027 at 79.8%.
79.8%-0.9 pts 24h
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Updated · Volume $1.9M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.5% or lower before 2027? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | 79.8% | -0.9 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? | 14.7% | -2.8 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? | 4.6% | -0.6 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | 2.6% | 0.0 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027? | 2.6% | 0.0 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027? | 2.5% | 0.0 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? | 2.4% | -0.1 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027? | 2.2% | +0.1 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027? | 2.1% | 0.0 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027? | 2.1% | 0.0 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027? | 2.1% | 0.0 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? | 1.8% | +0.0 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? | 1.7% | 0.0 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? | 1.7% | 0.0 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? | 1.7% | -0.1 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? | 1.6% | 0.0 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027? | 1.5% | 0.0 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027? | 1.5% | 0.0 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027? | 1.3% | -0.3 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027? | 1.2% | 0.0 |
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 21 tracked outcomes and $1.9M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027, is priced at 79.8%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice