What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October at 44.0%.
44.0%-3.0 pts 24h
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?
Updated · Volume $316.7K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in October? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October? | 44.0% | -3.0 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October? | 31.0% | +3.0 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October? | 14.5% | -5.5 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October? | 10.0% | -3.5 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in October? | 7.5% | -2.0 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October? | 6.6% | -0.9 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in October? | 3.5% | -0.0 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October? | 1.8% | -2.8 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in October? | 1.5% | -0.5 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October? | 1.3% | -0.3 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,500 in October? | 1.2% | -0.3 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October? | 1.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in October? | 0.8% | -0.3 |
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 17 tracked outcomes and $316.7K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October, is priced at 44.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice