What will the median home value in Miami be on September 30?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30 at 42.5%.

42.5%-3.0 pts 24h

Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?

Updated · Volume $64.1K

29%44%59%74%Aug 1Aug 8Aug 16Aug 23Aug 31
OutcomeProbability24h
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?42.5%-3.0
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,053,000 and $1,089,000 on September 30?21.0%-0.5
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?9.7%-0.5
Will the median home value in Miami be at least $1,196,000 on September 30?5.4%-1.6
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,017,000 and $1,053,000 on September 30?5.2%+0.1
Will the median home value in Miami be less than $1,017,000 on September 30?4.3%-0.4
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,161,000 and $1,196,000 on September 30?1.6%+0.1

The top 5 outcomes account for 93.5% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 7 tracked outcomes and $64.1K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30, is priced at 42.5%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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