What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will the median home value in NYC be between $663,000 and $689,000 on September 30 at 47.1%.

47.1%0.0 pts 24h

Will the median home value in NYC be between $663,000 and $689,000 on September 30?

Updated · Volume $57.9K

0%21%43%64%Aug 1Aug 8Aug 16Aug 23Aug 30
OutcomeProbability24h
Will the median home value in NYC be between $663,000 and $689,000 on September 30?47.1%0.0
Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?30.3%+3.1
Will the median home value in NYC be at least $689,000 on September 30?16.9%-6.6
Will the median home value in NYC be between $609,000 and $636,000 on September 30?5.5%+0.4
Will the median home value in NYC be less than $555,000 on September 30?3.9%+0.1
Will the median home value in NYC be between $555,000 and $582,000 on September 30?3.3%-0.3
Will the median home value in NYC be between $582,000 and $609,000 on September 30?1.8%+0.4

The top 5 outcomes account for 95.3% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 7 tracked outcomes and $57.9K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will the median home value in NYC be between $663,000 and $689,000 on September 30, is priced at 47.1%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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