What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30 at 89.0%.
89.0%+1.0 pts 24h
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30?
Updated · Volume $89.5K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30? | 89.0% | +1.0 |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30? | 4.3% | +0.1 |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $454,000 and $462,000 on September 30? | 2.8% | -1.6 |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $462,000 and $470,000 on September 30? | 2.4% | -0.4 |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $470,000 and $478,000 on September 30? | 2.3% | -1.7 |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be at least $486,000 on September 30? | 1.7% | +0.4 |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $478,000 and $486,000 on September 30? | 1.4% | +0.2 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 97.1% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 7 tracked outcomes and $89.5K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30, is priced at 89.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice