What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30 at 40.4%.
40.4%-3.5 pts 24h
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30?
Updated · Volume $68.8K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30? | 40.4% | -3.5 |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $530,000 and $536,000 on September 30? | 32.9% | +13.4 |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $518,000 and $524,000 on September 30? | 23.6% | -9.0 |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $536,000 and $542,000 on September 30? | 5.9% | -2.9 |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be at least $542,000 on September 30? | 4.0% | -0.4 |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $512,000 and $518,000 on September 30? | 3.5% | -1.8 |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $512,000 on September 30? | 0.8% | -6.3 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 96.2% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 7 tracked outcomes and $68.8K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30, is priced at 40.4%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice