What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30 at 49.1%.

49.1%+15.3 pts 24h

Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30?

Updated · Volume $73.6K

0%18%35%53%Aug 22Aug 29Sep 5Sep 13Sep 20
OutcomeProbability24h
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30?49.1%+15.3
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30?28.4%-8.6
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,185,000 and $1,201,000 on September 30?15.0%+8.0
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,137,000 and $1,153,000 on September 30?13.5%-10.5
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,137,000 on September 30?2.1%-0.1
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,201,000 and $1,216,000 on September 30?0.2%+0.1
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be at least $1,216,000 on September 30?0.1%+0.1

The top 5 outcomes account for 99.7% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 7 tracked outcomes and $73.6K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30, is priced at 49.1%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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