What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30 at 57.0%.
57.0%-0.0 pts 24h
Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?
Updated · Volume $61.1K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30? | 57.0% | -0.0 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30? | 34.3% | -0.7 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $426,000 and $433,000 on September 30? | 10.0% | 0.0 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30? | 1.6% | +0.3 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $440,000 and $447,000 on September 30? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $447,000 and $454,000 on September 30? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will the median home value in the US be at least $454,000 on September 30? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 99.9% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 7 tracked outcomes and $61.1K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30, is priced at 57.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice