KMT Favored to Win Most Seats in 2026 Taiwan Local Elections
Prediction markets price Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections at 90.5%.
90.5%0.0 pts 24h
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Updated · Volume $170.3K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | 90.5% | 0.0 |
| Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | 9.0% | 0.0 |
| Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Party G win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party N win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party Q win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party L win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party S win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party V win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party D win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party B win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party C win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party Z win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party T win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party F win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party X win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party P win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party A win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party K win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party M win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party J win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party W win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party R win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party H win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party O win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party I win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party U win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party Y win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will another party win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party E win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 30 tracked outcomes and $170.3K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections, is priced at 90.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice