Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31 at 67.1%.
67.1%+2.7 pts 24h
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
Updated · Volume $146.7K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? | 67.1% | +2.7 |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? | 22.5% | -3.5 |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? | 4.5% | -1.5 |
| Will there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? | 1.3% | -0.1 |
| Will there be 80 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? | 0.4% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 95.8% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 5 tracked outcomes and $146.7K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31, is priced at 67.1%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice