Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban): Result & Final Odds
Prediction markets have settled Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027 at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027Resolved — markets priced this at 100% a week before
Updated · Volume $67.4M
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027? | 0.0% | — |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? | 0.0% | — |
Context
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice