China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9% at 62.5%.
62.5%+4.5 pts 24h
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Updated · Volume $195.4K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? | 62.5% | +4.5 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? | 34.5% | -2.9 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%? | 4.5% | +3.0 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.5% and 5.8%? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.8% and 6.1%? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 6.1%? | 0.1% | — |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 4.0%? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%? | 0.1% | -0.5 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%? | 0.1% | -0.1 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 101.6% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 9 tracked outcomes and $195.4K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%, is priced at 62.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice