Core CPI MoM - July 2026: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July at 51.5%.
51.5%-11.0 pts 24h
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?
Updated · Volume $35.6K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? | 51.5% | -11.0 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July? | 24.6% | +4.6 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July? | 13.7% | +4.7 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in July? | 2.2% | +0.1 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in July? | 0.8% | +0.3 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in July? | 0.4% | 0.0 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in July? | 0.4% | +0.2 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 92.8% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 7 tracked outcomes and $35.6K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July, is priced at 51.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice