Elon Musk Net Worth on July 31?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31 at 40.4%.

40.4%+1.4 pts 24h

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?

Updated · Volume $34.4K

0%17%34%50%Jun 29Jul 3Jul 7Jul 11Jul 14

Across platforms

49.6 pt spread

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?

  • Polymarket40.4%
  • Kalshi90.0%

Matched automatically by question and resolution date. How we match.

OutcomeProbability24h
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?40.4%+1.4
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.90T and $1.00T on July 31?29.0%+4.0
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on July 31?16.0%-3.0
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?8.0%+0.1
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on July 31?4.3%-2.2
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on July 31?3.5%-3.5
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?0.8%-0.3

The top 5 outcomes account for 97.7% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 7 tracked outcomes and $34.4K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31, is priced at 40.4%.

Data: Polymarket, Kalshi · Methodology · Not financial advice