European military action against Iran by...?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31 at 7.0%.
7.0%-36.5 pts 24h
Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31?
Updated · Volume $320.9K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31? | 7.0% | -36.5 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31? | 6.5% | -5.0 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? | 0.1% | -0.4 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
The top 4 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 4 tracked outcomes and $320.9K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31, is priced at 7.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice