European military action against Iran by...?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31 at 10.5%.
10.5%+1.5 pts 24h
Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31?
Updated · Volume $325.6K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31? | 10.5% | +1.5 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31? | 3.0% | 0.0 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
The top 4 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 4 tracked outcomes and $325.6K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31, is priced at 10.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice