Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election at 13.5%.
13.5%+2.2 pts 24h
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Updated · Volume $332.3K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | 13.5% | +2.2 |
| Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | 5.7% | +2.0 |
| Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | 4.3% | 0.0 |
| Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | 3.7% | 0.0 |
| Will Mário da Silva Júnior win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | 2.3% | +1.4 |
| Will Gabriel Fernando Indi win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | 1.6% | -1.0 |
| Will João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | 0.5% | -0.1 |
| Will Herculano Armando Bequinsa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will another person win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | 0.0% | — |
The top 5 outcomes account for 29.4% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 13 tracked outcomes and $332.3K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election, is priced at 13.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice