Jul 26, 2026
Probability rose from 95.0% to 100.0% — a 5.0-point move over the past day.
Around this time: Iran-backed Houthis claim missile attack on Saudi Arabia as regional tensions escalate — The Guardian
Will Houthis Strike Saudi Arabia by July 2026? Odds & Probability
Prediction markets have settled Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026 at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026Event concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $79.4K
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026? | 0.4% | — |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 17, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
Context
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice