Houthis successfully target shipping by...?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026 at 41.0%.
41.0%-20.0 pts 24h
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?
Updated · Volume $83.4K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026? | 41.0% | -20.0 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026? | 31.0% | -30.0 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026? | 8.3% | -20.7 |
The top 3 outcomes account for 80.3% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 3 tracked outcomes and $83.4K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026, is priced at 41.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice