How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026 at 72.5%.

72.5%+7.5 pts 24h

Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?

Updated · Volume $293.8K

57%68%78%89%Aug 23Aug 30Sep 7Sep 14Sep 22
OutcomeProbability24h
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?72.5%+7.5
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?15.4%+14.3
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?5.7%+0.8
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?3.6%0.0
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2026?2.1%+0.3
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?1.7%0.0
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2026?1.7%+0.2
Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2026?0.4%-0.1
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?0.0%0.0

The top 5 outcomes account for 96.4% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 9 tracked outcomes and $293.8K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026, is priced at 72.5%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

Embed this widget
TypeTheme

Free to use. Please keep the “ChanceIndex” attribution. It updates itself — no scripts, no cookies.