United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election at 45.5%.
45.5%+1.0 pts 24h
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Updated · Volume $578.3K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | 45.5% | +1.0 |
| Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | 24.5% | +1.0 |
| Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | 13.6% | -4.4 |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | 9.5% | +2.0 |
| Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | 4.6% | +1.9 |
| Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | 2.4% | +0.1 |
| Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | 1.8% | +0.7 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 95.9% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 7 tracked outcomes and $578.3K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election, is priced at 45.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice