How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election at 34.0%.
34.0%+1.5 pts 24h
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Updated · Volume $295.5K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | 34.0% | +1.5 |
| Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | 23.0% | -3.5 |
| Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | 21.8% | +2.4 |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | 8.5% | 0.0 |
| Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | 5.9% | +2.1 |
| Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | 5.0% | -0.4 |
| Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | 2.6% | -0.6 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 92.5% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 7 tracked outcomes and $295.5K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election, is priced at 34.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice