Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31 at 37.5%.

37.5%0.0 pts 24h

Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?

Updated · Volume $2.7M

30%47%63%80%Aug 1Aug 8Aug 16Aug 23Aug 30
OutcomeProbability24h
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?37.5%0.0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?25.5%+3.0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?13.0%+0.5
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?1.1%+0.0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?0.0%0.0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?0.0%0.0

The top 5 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 6 tracked outcomes and $2.7M in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31, is priced at 37.5%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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