Iran invades Kuwait by...?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Iran invades Kuwait by December 31 at 6.5%.
6.5%0.0 pts 24h
Iran invades Kuwait by December 31?
Updated · Volume $1.1M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Iran invades Kuwait by December 31? | 6.5% | 0.0 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by October 31? | 1.3% | +0.1 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by July 31? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
The top 4 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 4 tracked outcomes and $1.1M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Iran invades Kuwait by December 31, is priced at 6.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice