Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31 at 35.5%.
35.5%-24.0 pts 24h
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
Updated · Volume $1.4M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | 35.5% | -24.0 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | 29.5% | -7.0 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? | 17.0% | +4.5 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | 11.0% | +2.5 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 7? | 9.0% | +0.5 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | 2.1% | -2.4 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 12? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 98.0% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 9 tracked outcomes and $1.4M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31, is priced at 35.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice