Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31 at 30.5%.
30.5%+1.0 pts 24h
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
Updated · Volume $3.1M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | 30.5% | +1.0 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | 21.5% | -2.0 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | 7.5% | +0.5 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 7? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 12? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 11 tracked outcomes and $3.1M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31, is priced at 30.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice