Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31 at 57.0%.
57.0%+3.5 pts 24h
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
Updated · Volume $2.1M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | 57.0% | +3.5 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | 41.5% | +3.5 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? | 39.0% | +8.0 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | 27.5% | +8.5 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 7? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 12? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 9 tracked outcomes and $2.1M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31, is priced at 57.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice